Ray Kurzweil, who’s probably the best technology prognosticator ever, predicts AGI by 2029, but doesn’t look for ASI until 2045. Meanwhile, his colleagues, led by Ray Kurzweil, are proceeding with its development.Īt the other end, Ben Goertzel, who, as Good did, thinks achieving AGI is merely a question of cash, says that before 2020 isn’t too soon to anticipate it.
Seeking a competitive advantage in the marketplace, Google X and other stealth companies may come up with AGI away from public viewĪt one end of the scale is Peter Norvig, Google’s Director of Research, who as we discussed, doesn’t care to speculate beyond saying AGI is too distant to speculate about. It doesn’t take Google glasses to see that if Google employs at least two of the world’s preeminent AI scientists, and Ray Kurzweil, AGI likely ranks high among its moon-shot pursuits. As we’ll discuss in chapter 9, Kurzweil has a long track record of achievements in AI, and has promoted brain research as the most direct route to achieving AGI. Watson beat the top human players on Jeopardy!,Īlso onboard at the stealth facility is Andrew Ng, former director of Stanford University’s Artificial Intelligence Lab, and a world-class roboticist.įinally, late in 2012, Google hired esteemed inventor and author Ray Kurzweil to be its director of engineering. Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, Our Final Invention: Artificial Intelligence and the End of the Human Era
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